Morgan Stanley China Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

CAF Fund  USD 17.91  0.14  0.78%   
The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.38, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Morgan Stanley's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Morgan Stanley is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Morgan Stanley China are ranked lower than 16 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. Despite nearly inconsistent basic indicators, Morgan Stanley reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
...more
1
CAF Expands Winners Bonus Increases Overall Prize Fund for Womens AFCON - MSN
11/28/2025
2
How Morgan Stanley China A Share Fund Inc. Affects Rotational Strategy Timing - news.stocktradersdaily.com
12/08/2025
3
As Rates Fall - Charities Aid Foundation
01/16/2026
4
CAF Launches Rally Your Region Campaign - Washington State University Athletics - Washington State University Athletics
02/10/2026
  

Morgan Stanley Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,556  in Morgan Stanley China on November 21, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  235.00  from holding Morgan Stanley China or generate 15.1% return on investment over 90 days. Morgan Stanley China is generating 0.2412% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.1504% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 10% of funds are less volatile than Morgan, and above 96% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Morgan Stanley is expected to generate 1.54 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.54 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.21 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of risk.

Morgan Stanley Current Valuation

Undervalued
Today
17.91
Please note that Morgan Stanley's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be undervalued. Morgan Stanley China secures a last-minute Real Value of $19.17 per share. The latest price of the fund is $17.91. We determine the value of Morgan Stanley China from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend locking in undervalued funds and disposing overvalued funds since, at some point, fund prices and their ongoing real values will merge together.
The fair value of the Morgan fund is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Morgan Stanley China. Since Morgan Stanley is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Morgan Fund. However, Morgan Stanley's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  17.91 Real  19.17 Hype  17.94 Naive  17.95
The real value of Morgan Fund, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Morgan Stanley China Fund, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Morgan Stanley's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Morgan Stanley's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
19.17
Real Value
20.32
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Morgan Stanley China helps investors to forecast how Morgan fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Morgan Stanley more accurately as focusing exclusively on Morgan Stanley's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.9518.0720.19
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.7917.9419.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
16.8017.9519.10
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Morgan Stanley China extending back to September 28, 2006. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Morgan Stanley stands at 17.91, as last reported on the 19th of February, with the highest price reaching 18.32 and the lowest price hitting 17.90 during the day.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Morgan Stanley Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Morgan Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 17.91 90 days 17.91 
about 26.2
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Morgan Stanley to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 26.2 (This Morgan Stanley China probability density function shows the probability of Morgan Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Morgan Stanley has a beta of 0.38 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Morgan Stanley average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Morgan Stanley China will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Morgan Stanley China has an alpha of 0.152, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Morgan Stanley Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Morgan Stanley

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Morgan Stanley China. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.7917.9419.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.0219.1720.32
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.8017.9519.10
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.9518.0720.19
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Morgan Stanley. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Morgan Stanley's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Morgan Stanley's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Morgan Stanley China.

Morgan Stanley Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Morgan Stanley is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Morgan Stanley's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Morgan Stanley China, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Morgan Stanley within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.38
σ
Overall volatility
1.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Morgan Stanley Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Morgan Stanley for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Morgan Stanley China can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: CAF Expands Winners Bonus Increases Overall Prize Fund for Womens AFCON - MSN
The fund generated five year return of -3.0%

Morgan Stanley Fundamentals Growth

Morgan Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Morgan Stanley, and Morgan Stanley fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Morgan Fund performance.

About Morgan Stanley Performance

By analyzing Morgan Stanley's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Morgan Stanley's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Morgan Stanley has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Morgan Stanley has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Morgan Stanley China A Share Fund, Inc. is a closed ended equity mutual fund launched and managed by Morgan Stanley Investment Management Inc. It is co-managed by Morgan Stanley Investment Management Company. The fund invests in the public equity markets of China. It seeks to invest in the stocks of companies operating across diversified sectors. The fund invests in the growth stocks of companies. It employs fundamental analysis with bottom-up stock picking approach to create its portfolio. The fund benchmarks the performance of its portfolio against the Morgan Stanley Capital International China A Share Index. Morgan Stanley China A Share Fund, Inc. was formed on July 6, 2006 and is domiciled in the United States.

Things to note about Morgan Stanley China performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Morgan Stanley for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Fund alerts and notifications screener for Morgan Stanley China help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: CAF Expands Winners Bonus Increases Overall Prize Fund for Womens AFCON - MSN
The fund generated five year return of -3.0%
Evaluating Morgan Stanley's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Morgan Stanley's fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Morgan Stanley's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Morgan Stanley's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Morgan Stanley's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Morgan Stanley's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Morgan Stanley's management team can help you assess the Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Morgan Stanley's fund. These opinions can provide insight into Morgan Stanley's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Morgan Stanley's fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Morgan Stanley's fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Morgan Fund

Morgan Stanley financial ratios help investors to determine whether Morgan Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Morgan with respect to the benefits of owning Morgan Stanley security.
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